With respect to Ian Wilson (in ‘From scenario thinking to strategic action’, 2000, in De Wit & Meyer, 2010, Reading 3.4), judge whether the following statements are true or false:
I A starting point in the dilemma of scenario thinking is a ‘thinking focus’. II Scenarios normally deal with problems with a 3-5 year horizon.
Both statements are true
Statement I is true, statement II is false
Statement I is false, statement II is true
Both statements are false.
Wilson (in ‘From scenario thinking to strategic action’, 2000, in De Wit & Meyer, 2010, Reading 3.4) gives four approaches, in order to use scenarios in a sophisticated way. Which of the following does the author NOT list?
Sensitivity/ risk assessment
Strategy evaluation
Feasibility assessment
Strategy development.
With respect to Wilson (in ‘From scenario thinking to strategic action’, 2000, in De Wit & Meyer, 2010, Reading 3.4), judge whether the following statements are true or false:
I Effective scenario planning implies the development of a complete strategy for each of the scenarios. II Scenario thinking is not to assign probabilities and, then, develop a strategy for the ‘most probable’ one.